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mcdc.missouri.edu • View topic - When will the 2010 estimates be released?

When will the 2010 estimates be released?

Discusssion of SubState (Counties, Cities, etc) Population Estimates

When will the 2010 estimates be released?

Postby johnson » Mon May 09, 2011 1:08 pm

We usually see various estimates data released each year. We get the estimates with components of change in late March, the age, sex, race and hispanic breakdowns in June, the subcounty (place) estimates around July 1, etc. But I have seen nothing new so far this year (2011). What's up?
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Re: When will the 2010 estimates be released?

Postby blodgettj » Mon May 09, 2011 1:35 pm

There are no plans for the Census Bureau to release vintage 2010 estimates this year. The reason given by the Bureau is that it would just confuse users in a year when the decennial census counts are being released. So basically, they are saying you do not need estimates this year because you have the actual census counts. Of course, those counts are as of April 1 instead of July 1, and you don't get anything with components of change.
Actually, the Bureau did release one file with 2010 estimates back in March and we have placed a copy of it in the archive (see http://mcdc.missouri.edu/pub/data/popes ... totals.csv ) but we are not calling attention to it because we think it might well cause users to be confused and use these as the best and most recent estimates. These numbers provide just total pop estimates for each year during the last decade with two 2010 vintage estimates: for April 1 and July 1. But these were done without the benefit of the 2010 census counts as an input. So they are still showing (for example) the City of St. Louis (a country equivalent) as having over 350,000 population in 2010, when in fact the 2010 census shows the actual figure to be around 319,000. So these numbers are a somewhat academic exercise on the part of the Bureau. We caution users who are not demographers to ignore these numbers. When the Bureau publishes the vintage 2011 estimates starting in the spring of 2012 the numbers will include July 1, 2010 figures that will be based on the results of the 2010 census.

BTW, if you are looking for the latest population figures for standard geographies such as states, counties, places and CBSA's (metropolitan/micropolitan statistical areas) a quick and easy way to find these is via our recently updated Cure for the Common Codes web app - http://mcdc.missouri.edu/webrepts/commoncodes/ which now shows the 2010 pop counts in addition to the geographic codes.
jgb
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